In recent years, I would bet on the lesser talented team who is hotter and luckier. The Giants have solidified my theory.
The Ravens aren't as good as the Niners and they needed one of the all-time great screwups in playoff history to even get past the Broncos. Then, the Pats lost their top CB and Tight End. I am not saying they aren't a good team, but they got some luck on their side and luck usually is enough to get it done.